CA Lugano vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
9º
10º
19
7º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAM
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
SBA
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
SBA
20%
25%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
CBA
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
DPA
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 1
ARR
18%
24%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 0
DPA
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |