CA Lugano vs Defensores de Cambaceres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CES
0 - 0
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
JUU
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
DPA
2 - 2
LUG
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
PUE
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
YUP
2 - 0
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
CBA
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
SBA
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
CLA
1 - 1
CAM
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 3
MUÑ
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |