Lanús vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
SLO
0 - 4
LAN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 3
HUR
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
LAN
17%
25%
58%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
ALD
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 1
LAN
31%
26%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
SMA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
SMA
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
CEN
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
MIT
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |