Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 1-2
Lanús vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 1
LAN
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 1
LAN
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
COL
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 1
LAN
32%
25%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CDL
0 - 0
IVT
8%
16%
76%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 1
LAN
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
IVT
37%
24%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 0
AMF
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
IVT
0 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |