Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 1
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 0
LAN
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 2
BOC
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 4
LAN
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 2
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
SMA
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
VEL
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 2
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |