Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NOB
2 - 2
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
LAN
2 - 1
RAC
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
BAN
1 - 1
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 0
LAN
28%
27%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
0 - 0
GLP
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
VEL
3 - 3
SLO
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 0
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
VEL
3 - 0
BAN
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CAU
0 - 1
VEL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |