Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
LAN
3 - 2
RIV
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
HUR
0 - 0
LAN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
LAN
1 - 1
ALM
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 1
LAN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 2
VEL
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
HUR
2 - 2
VEL
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 3
ALM
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 3
VEL
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |