Lanús vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
BAN
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 2
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 3
LAN
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 3
BOC
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
RAF
1 - 2
RAC
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 3
RAF
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 1
BOC
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RAF
3 - 1
CEN
24%
24%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |