Independiente II vs Universidad de Panamá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
2º
33
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 1
IDC
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 1
AFM
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
3 - 2
CDU
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
0 - 2
IDC
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
6 - 1
ACH
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad de Panamá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
UDP
2 - 4
SFF
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VCD
3 - 2
UDP
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
UDP
3 - 1
SAP
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CDU
1 - 2
UDP
25%
24%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HFC
1 - 2
UDP
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |