Boca Juniors vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOC
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BOC
5 - 1
ARS
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 1
BOC
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CAU
0 - 1
ATT
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 3
CAU
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
CAU
2 - 2
IND
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 1
CAU
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAU
1 - 0
COL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |