Copa Libertadores Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 1
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 3
BOC
37%
29%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BOC
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
BOC
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOC
0 - 1
TIG
51%
26%
24%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
GOI
68%
20%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
PER
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
VAS
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |