Boca Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
4 - 2
ARG
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 0
CCP
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
2 - 3
UCO
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
GIM
0 - 0
BOC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
BOC
4 - 3
CEN
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1997 |
ESP
0 - 3
IND
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
IND
2 - 3
CAH
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
SLO
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1997 |
IND
2 - 0
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |