Boca Juniors vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
ATT
1 - 0
BOC
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
BOC
25%
27%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -5 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
BOC
49%
27%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
4 - 2
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 3
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 1
FOR
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
VAS
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |