Boca Juniors vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 2
TAL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 7
BOC
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
CLA
84%
13%
3%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
SAR
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
28%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
INS
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
QUI
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
INS
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |