Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GOD
1 - 4
BOC
26%
27%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
BOC
3 - 0
IND
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 0
GLP
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 1
BOC
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 4
BOC
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 3
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
GOD
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
ARG
54%
27%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ARS
0 - 4
VEL
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |