Boca Juniors vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
BOC
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BOC
2 - 1
ATT
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
DYJ
0 - 1
BOC
42%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 0
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
BOC
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
DYJ
0 - 4
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 1
RIV
23%
24%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 0
CCS
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 0
RIV
25%
25%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |