Boca Juniors vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
BOC
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 2
RAC
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
BOC
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BOC
4 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 2
BOC
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 1
TAL
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ATT
0 - 0
ARS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 0
TIG
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARG
3 - 2
ARS
50%
26%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 1
SMA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |