Boca Juniors vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
RAF
1 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 3
CAU
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 2
BOC
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 3
QUI
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GOD
0 - 0
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 2
ARS
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 1
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |