Banfield vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BAN
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
TAL
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 1
BAN
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
LAN
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
BAN
40%
29%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TAL
4 - 0
RAF
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
2 - 3
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
4 - 1
RAF
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
RAF
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |