CA Atlas vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 3
CAA
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CBA
0 - 0
CAA
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAA
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 3
CAÑ
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
CAÑ
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
CLA
2 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
JUU
53%
25%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
RIE
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SMG
1 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |