Mérida UD vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
54.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
GRA
4 - 2
MER
46%
26%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
LUC
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 2
MER
41%
27%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
LOR
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 3
MEL
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 0
LOR
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 1
PUE
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |