Mérida UD vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AGU
3 - 0
MER
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MER
0 - 0
CDL
22%
28%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 1
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MER
0 - 3
CCF
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
BAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
ALC
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 3
RJA
36%
29%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 1
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |