Mérida UD vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
31.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 0
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
MER
0 - 1
AGU
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
CDL
3 - 1
MER
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
SEV
28%
30%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAZ
37%
29%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
AGD
0 - 0
CAR
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
AGD
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 0
VVA
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ECI
2 - 1
AGD
46%
30%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |