CF Estrella vs San Mateo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
5 - 1
EST
57%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CLU
5 - 1
EST
63%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MEI
4 - 2
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
CCR
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ORT
4 - 0
EST
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
4 - 1
MAT
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RAP
5 - 1
MAT
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
4 - 0
MEI
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CCR
3 - 0
MAT
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 4
ORT
18%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |