CF Estrella vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
54.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
4 - 3
EST
47%
20%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
CUL
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NAR
5 - 2
EST
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
5 - 1
EST
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EST
0 - 8
MEI
14%
19%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NUM
2 - 0
GAL
12%
15%
73%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 3
NUM
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UDC
4 - 1
NUM
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 0
LAR
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VIZ
2 - 3
NUM
42%
23%
36%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |