CF Estrella vs Numancia analysis


11	ELO	14
3%	Tilt	0.3%
31471º	General ELO ranking	31469º
9050º	Country ELO ranking	9048º
ELO win probability

14.2%

CF Estrella

18.4%

Draw

67.4%

Numancia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

14.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%

18.4%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

8.5%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

18.4%

67.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%