C.D. Zarza vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
CDZ
33%
26%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDZ
1 - 1
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 1
CDZ
41%
25%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CDZ
2 - 1
CDR
33%
22%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
REP
2 - 2
CDZ
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NER
1 - 1
FBV
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALO
6 - 1
NER
49%
22%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NER
1 - 3
CDE
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NER
2 - 3
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ZAL
5 - 2
NER
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |