C.D. Punta Umbria vs Mun.Villablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Punta Umbria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SBA
1 - 2
CDP
15%
20%
64%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDP
2 - 1
UDD
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
REC
2 - 1
CDP
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDP
0 - 0
ROC
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mun.Villablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
MOG
41%
24%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 4
SBA
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 2
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
ZAL
64%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UDD
4 - 0
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |