CD Cerreño vs UD Aracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
REP
1 - 4
CDC
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 0
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDC
60%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDZ
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NER
4 - 3
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Aracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UDA
5 - 2
CDE
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDA
64%
20%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDA
2 - 2
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDR
3 - 2
UDA
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
REP
2 - 1
UDA
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |