CD Cerreño vs Punta Umbria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COR
5 - 0
CDC
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDA
0 - 3
CDC
30%
25%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 3
CDF
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOG
2 - 1
CDC
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Punta Umbria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
THA
2 - 0
PUM
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 1
COR
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 2
PUM
68%
17%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 1
UDA
46%
24%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 1
PUM
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |