CD Cerreño vs SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
CDC
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
CDC
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GBL
0 - 1
CDC
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 0
CAN
29%
21%
50%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALO
0 - 3
ALJ
32%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 2
MAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DCA
2 - 1
ALJ
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALJ
2 - 0
REP
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |