C.D. Arahelense vs Pilas Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
CDA
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
6 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 3
CDA
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 1
CIR
78%
14%
7%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
CDA
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pilas Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PIL
0 - 1
MSQ
21%
22%
57%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PIL
0 - 2
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIL
1 - 0
BEN
27%
22%
51%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HUE
5 - 1
PIL
60%
20%
20%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
PIL
93%
6%
2%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |