FC BW Friesdorf vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
67.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
14º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 0
BWF
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BWF
1 - 2
HUR
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
BWF
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 2
WEG
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KON
0 - 3
BWF
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
H05
3 - 1
BGP
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
H05
23%
20%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
H05
0 - 2
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VFL
3 - 5
H05
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
H05
2 - 1
SPF
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |