Buxton vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 2
BUX
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BUX
0 - 2
SAL
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 1
SKE
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BLY
1 - 0
BUX
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
RAM
0 - 1
BUX
33%
26%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
STO
2 - 2
RUS
25%
23%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SKE
1 - 2
STO
68%
19%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ILK
4 - 3
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STO
0 - 0
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
STO
4 - 3
NAN
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |