Buxton vs Morpeth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WIT
0 - 2
BUX
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BUX
1 - 2
HYD
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 4
BUX
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BUX
5 - 0
SCA
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NAN
2 - 2
BUX
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LAN
4 - 1
MOR
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 0
MOR
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
4 - 0
WAR
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 2
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
NAN
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |