Buxton vs Glossop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BUX
2 - 2
SPE
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
4 - 4
BUX
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 0
BUX
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BUX
3 - 0
WHI
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HED
1 - 2
BUX
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Glossop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 1
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 1
OSS
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 4
GLO
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 0
TAD
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 1
RAM
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |