Buxton vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 0
BUX
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
OSS
0 - 1
BUX
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
BUX
0 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BUX
1 - 0
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
BUX
1 - 1
ASH
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
RET
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 1
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COL
4 - 0
FRI
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
WOR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |