Bustelo vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
BUS
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 3
OPE
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 2
ANA
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
BUS
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 2
SOU
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
ADN
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 0
PAM
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 2
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 4
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |