Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DAE
1 - 1
BUS
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GYE
0 - 0
BUS
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
GAN
2 - 0
BUS
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
BUS
0 - 0
GIM
13%
23%
64%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GYE
2 - 2
BUS
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MOK
2 - 0
GYE
21%
27%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GYE
0 - 0
BUS
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GYE
2 - 0
GIM
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 2
GYE
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
3 - 1
GYE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |