FA Cup . Final
Global 1-2
Busan I Park vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
KOR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
BUS
1 - 1
SUW
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 2
BUS
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SUW
0 - 1
BUS
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
GYE
2 - 0
BUS
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GAN
1 - 2
ULS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ULS
1 - 2
JEO
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 0
ULS
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ULS
0 - 1
JEJ
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SUW
2 - 0
ULS
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |