Busan I Park vs FC Anyang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
12º
3º
24
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 70 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
24 | 66 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 52 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 50 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 49 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 49 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 46 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 41 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 31 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 30 |
13º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 33% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 41% |
|
Next round
|
53% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 4
BUS
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 1
CDR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 1
BUS
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 0
ULS
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 1
GIM
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Anyang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
BUC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
ANG
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ELA
1 - 2
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIH
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
FCA
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |