Bury vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
STO
1 - 0
BCF
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
CHA
1 - 2
BCF
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
BCF
2 - 4
REA
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
NOT
1 - 3
BCF
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
BCF
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
WOL
0 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
NTT
5 - 2
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
WOL
1 - 1
OLD
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
MIL
4 - 0
WOL
49%
22%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
WOL
2 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |