Bury vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1954 |
PLY
2 - 4
BCF
50%
23%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1954 |
BCF
3 - 1
BRO
54%
22%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1954 |
LIV
1 - 1
BCF
72%
16%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BCF
2 - 2
DER
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1954 |
DON
1 - 0
BCF
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1954 |
POR
0 - 1
LEE
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1954 |
POR
3 - 3
IPS
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
HUL
2 - 1
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1954 |
POR
1 - 3
LIN
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1954 |
POR
0 - 3
BBU
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |