Bury vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BCF
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 2
BCF
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
BCF
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BCF
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
GRI
2 - 1
NOT
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 1
YEO
28%
27%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
MKD
1 - 1
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 1
LIN
16%
25%
59%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |