Bury vs AFC Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
VAU
2 - 1
BCF
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 1
KEN
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRH
1 - 2
BCF
9%
18%
73%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 1
ASH
89%
9%
3%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BCF
2 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
4%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
BUR
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WYT
4 - 0
ALI
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
SQU
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
5 - 1
PRH
32%
22%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KEN
3 - 1
ALI
35%
21%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |