Bury Town vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
BUR
7 - 0
MAL
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
WOD
0 - 3
BUR
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BED
0 - 4
BUR
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
7 - 2
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 1
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
AYL
4 - 1
SOH
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AYL
0 - 4
NUN
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LEA
1 - 2
AYL
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
AYL
13%
22%
65%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
STO
1 - 2
AYL
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |