Burton Swifts vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1894 |
BUR
1 - 3
LIN
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1894 |
BUR
5 - 3
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1894 |
WAL
3 - 4
BUR
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1893 |
BUR
0 - 2
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1893 |
LIN
1 - 1
BUR
34%
24%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1894 |
WAL
1 - 2
ARS
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1894 |
POR
1 - 2
WAL
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1894 |
ROT
3 - 2
WAL
60%
20%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1894 |
NOT
2 - 0
WAL
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1894 |
WAL
3 - 4
BUR
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |