Burton Albion vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
STF
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 2
MKD
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BPO
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 3
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SWI
0 - 2
BPO
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FLE
0 - 2
SWI
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
GIL
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 2
OXF
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |