Burscough vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burscough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
BUR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BUR
4 - 1
ASH
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 4
KEN
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
BUX
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 1
BUX
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BUX
7 - 0
RET
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BUX
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BUX
1 - 1
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |