Burreli vs Valbona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
5º
4º
16
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
APO
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 3
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
LUS
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KRU
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valbona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 2
BES
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
POG
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KFV
5 - 1
MUR
84%
11%
6%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 5
KFV
10%
15%
74%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
ILI
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |